Bank Rakyat Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 11.98

BKRKY Stock  USD 13.45  0.33  2.39%   
Bank Rakyat's future price is the expected price of Bank Rakyat instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bank Rakyat performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bank Rakyat Backtesting, Bank Rakyat Valuation, Bank Rakyat Correlation, Bank Rakyat Hype Analysis, Bank Rakyat Volatility, Bank Rakyat History as well as Bank Rakyat Performance.
  
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Bank Rakyat Target Price Odds to finish below 11.98

The tendency of Bank Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 11.98  or more in 90 days
 13.45 90 days 11.98 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bank Rakyat to drop to $ 11.98  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Bank Rakyat probability density function shows the probability of Bank Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bank Rakyat price to stay between $ 11.98  and its current price of $13.45 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.66 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Bank Rakyat has a beta of -0.13 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bank Rakyat are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bank Rakyat is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bank Rakyat has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Bank Rakyat Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bank Rakyat

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank Rakyat. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.6813.4515.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.0111.7813.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.2314.0015.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.1713.6014.03
Details

Bank Rakyat Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bank Rakyat is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bank Rakyat's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bank Rakyat, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bank Rakyat within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.13
σ
Overall volatility
1.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.25

Bank Rakyat Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bank Rakyat for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bank Rakyat can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bank Rakyat generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Bank Rakyat has accumulated about 6.77 B in cash with (8.27 T) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.77.

Bank Rakyat Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bank Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bank Rakyat's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank Rakyat's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding151.5 B

Bank Rakyat Technical Analysis

Bank Rakyat's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bank Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bank Rakyat. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bank Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bank Rakyat Predictive Forecast Models

Bank Rakyat's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bank Rakyat's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bank Rakyat's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bank Rakyat

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bank Rakyat for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bank Rakyat help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bank Rakyat generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Bank Rakyat has accumulated about 6.77 B in cash with (8.27 T) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.77.

Additional Tools for Bank Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Bank Rakyat's price analysis, check to measure Bank Rakyat's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bank Rakyat is operating at the current time. Most of Bank Rakyat's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bank Rakyat's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bank Rakyat's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bank Rakyat to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.