Berkeley Energy (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.39
| BKY Stock | 0.34 0.04 10.53% |
Berkeley |
Berkeley Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 16.39
The tendency of Berkeley Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 16.39 or more in 90 days |
| 0.34 | 90 days | 16.39 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Berkeley Energy to move over 16.39 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Berkeley Energy probability density function shows the probability of Berkeley Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Berkeley Energy price to stay between its current price of 0.34 and 16.39 at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.24 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Berkeley Energy has a beta of 0.45 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Berkeley Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Berkeley Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Berkeley Energy has an alpha of 0.1179, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Berkeley Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Berkeley Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Berkeley Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Berkeley Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Berkeley Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Berkeley Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Berkeley Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Berkeley Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Berkeley Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Berkeley Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Berkeley Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Berkeley Energy had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Berkeley Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 3.55 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.26 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (405 K). | |
| Berkeley Energy generates negative cash flow from operations |
Berkeley Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Berkeley Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Berkeley Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Berkeley Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 445.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 77.3 M |
Berkeley Energy Technical Analysis
Berkeley Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Berkeley Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Berkeley Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Berkeley Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Berkeley Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Berkeley Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Berkeley Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Berkeley Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Berkeley Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Berkeley Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Berkeley Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Berkeley Energy had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Berkeley Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 3.55 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.26 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (405 K). | |
| Berkeley Energy generates negative cash flow from operations |
Additional Tools for Berkeley Stock Analysis
When running Berkeley Energy's price analysis, check to measure Berkeley Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Berkeley Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Berkeley Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Berkeley Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Berkeley Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Berkeley Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.