Blue Lagoon Resources Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.12

BLAGF Stock  USD 0.14  0.03  27.27%   
Blue Lagoon's future price is the expected price of Blue Lagoon instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Blue Lagoon Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Blue Lagoon Backtesting, Blue Lagoon Valuation, Blue Lagoon Correlation, Blue Lagoon Hype Analysis, Blue Lagoon Volatility, Blue Lagoon History as well as Blue Lagoon Performance.
  
Please specify Blue Lagoon's target price for which you would like Blue Lagoon odds to be computed.

Blue Lagoon Target Price Odds to finish below 0.12

The tendency of Blue OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.12  or more in 90 days
 0.14 90 days 0.12 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blue Lagoon to drop to $ 0.12  or more in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Blue Lagoon Resources probability density function shows the probability of Blue OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Blue Lagoon Resources price to stay between $ 0.12  and its current price of $0.14 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Blue Lagoon Resources has a beta of -1.75 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Blue Lagoon Resources are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Blue Lagoon is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Blue Lagoon Resources has an alpha of 0.9531, implying that it can generate a 0.95 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Blue Lagoon Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Blue Lagoon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blue Lagoon Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.149.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.109.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.159.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.090.10.11
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Blue Lagoon. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Blue Lagoon's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Blue Lagoon's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Blue Lagoon Resources.

Blue Lagoon Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Blue Lagoon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Blue Lagoon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Blue Lagoon Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Blue Lagoon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.95
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.75
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Blue Lagoon Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Blue Lagoon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Blue Lagoon Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Blue Lagoon is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Blue Lagoon has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Blue Lagoon appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Blue Lagoon has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (15.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Blue Lagoon Resources has accumulated about 8.3 M in cash with (9.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08.

Blue Lagoon Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Blue OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Blue Lagoon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blue Lagoon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding88.8 M

Blue Lagoon Technical Analysis

Blue Lagoon's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Blue OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Blue Lagoon Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Blue OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Blue Lagoon Predictive Forecast Models

Blue Lagoon's time-series forecasting models is one of many Blue Lagoon's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Blue Lagoon's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Blue Lagoon Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about Blue Lagoon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Blue Lagoon Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Blue Lagoon is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Blue Lagoon has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Blue Lagoon appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Blue Lagoon has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (15.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Blue Lagoon Resources has accumulated about 8.3 M in cash with (9.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08.

Other Information on Investing in Blue OTC Stock

Blue Lagoon financial ratios help investors to determine whether Blue OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Blue with respect to the benefits of owning Blue Lagoon security.