Bastide Le (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.55
| BLC Stock | EUR 20.80 0.05 0.24% |
Bastide |
Bastide Le Target Price Odds to finish below 18.55
The tendency of Bastide Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 18.55 or more in 90 days |
| 20.80 | 90 days | 18.55 | about 13.65 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bastide Le to drop to € 18.55 or more in 90 days from now is about 13.65 (This Bastide Le Confort probability density function shows the probability of Bastide Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bastide Le Confort price to stay between € 18.55 and its current price of €20.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.24 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bastide Le has a beta of 0.0251 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bastide Le average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bastide Le Confort will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bastide Le Confort has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bastide Le Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bastide Le
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bastide Le Confort. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bastide Le Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bastide Le is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bastide Le's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bastide Le Confort, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bastide Le within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Bastide Le Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bastide Le for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bastide Le Confort can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bastide Le Confort generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bastide Le Confort has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Bastide Le Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bastide Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bastide Le's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bastide Le's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 22.1 M |
Bastide Le Technical Analysis
Bastide Le's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bastide Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bastide Le Confort. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bastide Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bastide Le Predictive Forecast Models
Bastide Le's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bastide Le's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bastide Le's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bastide Le Confort
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bastide Le for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bastide Le Confort help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bastide Le Confort generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bastide Le Confort has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Bastide Stock
Bastide Le financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bastide Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bastide with respect to the benefits of owning Bastide Le security.