Bloomin Brands Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 25.29
| BLMN Stock | USD 13.17 0.45 3.54% |
Closest to current price Bloomin long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Bloomin |
Bloomin Brands Target Price Odds to finish over 25.29
The tendency of Bloomin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 25.29 or more in 90 days |
| 13.17 | 90 days | 25.29 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bloomin Brands to move over $ 25.29 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Bloomin Brands probability density function shows the probability of Bloomin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bloomin Brands price to stay between its current price of $ 13.17 and $ 25.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.77 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.01 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Bloomin Brands will likely underperform. Additionally Bloomin Brands has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bloomin Brands Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bloomin Brands
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bloomin Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bloomin Brands Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bloomin Brands is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bloomin Brands' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bloomin Brands, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bloomin Brands within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.49 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Bloomin Brands Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bloomin Brands for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bloomin Brands can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bloomin Brands generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bloomin Brands has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Bloomin Brands currently holds 2.09 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 8.18, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Bloomin Brands has a current ratio of 0.31, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Bloomin Brands' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Bloomin Brands has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 98.0% of Bloomin Brands shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: This GE Vernova Analyst Begins Coverage On A Bullish Note Here Are Top 5 Initiations For Thursday |
Bloomin Brands Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bloomin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bloomin Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bloomin Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 96.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 111.5 M |
Bloomin Brands Technical Analysis
Bloomin Brands' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bloomin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bloomin Brands. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bloomin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bloomin Brands Predictive Forecast Models
Bloomin Brands' time-series forecasting models is one of many Bloomin Brands' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bloomin Brands' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bloomin Brands
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bloomin Brands for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bloomin Brands help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bloomin Brands generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bloomin Brands has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Bloomin Brands currently holds 2.09 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 8.18, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Bloomin Brands has a current ratio of 0.31, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Bloomin Brands' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Bloomin Brands has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 98.0% of Bloomin Brands shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: This GE Vernova Analyst Begins Coverage On A Bullish Note Here Are Top 5 Initiations For Thursday |
Check out Bloomin Brands Backtesting, Bloomin Brands Valuation, Bloomin Brands Correlation, Bloomin Brands Hype Analysis, Bloomin Brands Volatility, Bloomin Brands History as well as Bloomin Brands Performance. To learn how to invest in Bloomin Stock, please use our How to Invest in Bloomin Brands guide.You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bloomin Brands. If investors know Bloomin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bloomin Brands listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.82) | Dividend Share 0.96 | Earnings Share (0.08) | Revenue Per Share 53.29 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
The market value of Bloomin Brands is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bloomin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bloomin Brands' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bloomin Brands' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bloomin Brands' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bloomin Brands' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bloomin Brands' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bloomin Brands is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bloomin Brands' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.