Blend Labs Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.5

BLND Stock  USD 5.28  0.08  1.54%   
Blend Labs' future price is the expected price of Blend Labs instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Blend Labs performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Blend Labs Backtesting, Blend Labs Valuation, Blend Labs Correlation, Blend Labs Hype Analysis, Blend Labs Volatility, Blend Labs History as well as Blend Labs Performance.
For information on how to trade Blend Stock refer to our How to Trade Blend Stock guide.
  
As of November 25, 2024, Price To Sales Ratio is expected to decline to 3.79. In addition to that, Price Earnings Ratio is expected to decline to -3.54. Please specify Blend Labs' target price for which you would like Blend Labs odds to be computed.

Blend Labs Target Price Odds to finish below 3.5

The tendency of Blend Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 3.50  or more in 90 days
 5.28 90 days 3.50 
about 23.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blend Labs to drop to $ 3.50  or more in 90 days from now is about 23.84 (This Blend Labs probability density function shows the probability of Blend Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Blend Labs price to stay between $ 3.50  and its current price of $5.28 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.93 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.42 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Blend Labs will likely underperform. Additionally Blend Labs has an alpha of 0.5235, implying that it can generate a 0.52 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Blend Labs Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Blend Labs

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blend Labs. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.855.209.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.163.117.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.815.169.51
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1.361.491.65
Details

Blend Labs Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Blend Labs is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Blend Labs' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Blend Labs, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Blend Labs within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.52
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.42
σ
Overall volatility
0.48
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Blend Labs Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Blend Labs for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Blend Labs can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Blend Labs appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Blend Labs has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 156.85 M. Net Loss for the year was (179.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 89.65 M.
Blend Labs currently holds about 450.5 M in cash with (127.62 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.92.
Blend Labs has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 64.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Disposition of 42721 shares by Timothy Mayopoulos of Blend Labs at 5.0004 subject to Rule 16b-3

Blend Labs Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Blend Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Blend Labs' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blend Labs' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding245.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments136.9 M

Blend Labs Technical Analysis

Blend Labs' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Blend Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Blend Labs. In general, you should focus on analyzing Blend Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Blend Labs Predictive Forecast Models

Blend Labs' time-series forecasting models is one of many Blend Labs' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Blend Labs' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Blend Labs

Checking the ongoing alerts about Blend Labs for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Blend Labs help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Blend Labs appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Blend Labs has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 156.85 M. Net Loss for the year was (179.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 89.65 M.
Blend Labs currently holds about 450.5 M in cash with (127.62 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.92.
Blend Labs has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 64.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Disposition of 42721 shares by Timothy Mayopoulos of Blend Labs at 5.0004 subject to Rule 16b-3
When determining whether Blend Labs is a strong investment it is important to analyze Blend Labs' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Blend Labs' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Blend Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Blend Labs Backtesting, Blend Labs Valuation, Blend Labs Correlation, Blend Labs Hype Analysis, Blend Labs Volatility, Blend Labs History as well as Blend Labs Performance.
For information on how to trade Blend Stock refer to our How to Trade Blend Stock guide.
You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Blend Labs. If investors know Blend will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Blend Labs listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.34)
Revenue Per Share
0.622
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.113
Return On Assets
(0.15)
Return On Equity
(0.77)
The market value of Blend Labs is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Blend that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Blend Labs' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Blend Labs' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Blend Labs' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Blend Labs' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Blend Labs' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Blend Labs is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Blend Labs' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.