BioLine RX (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.7

BLRX Stock  ILS 7.10  0.40  5.33%   
BioLine RX's future price is the expected price of BioLine RX instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BioLine RX performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BioLine RX Backtesting, BioLine RX Valuation, BioLine RX Correlation, BioLine RX Hype Analysis, BioLine RX Volatility, BioLine RX History as well as BioLine RX Performance.
  
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BioLine RX Target Price Odds to finish over 16.7

The tendency of BioLine Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over S 16.70  or more in 90 days
 7.10 90 days 16.70 
about 22.43
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BioLine RX to move over S 16.70  or more in 90 days from now is about 22.43 (This BioLine RX probability density function shows the probability of BioLine Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BioLine RX price to stay between its current price of S 7.10  and S 16.70  at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.16 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BioLine RX has a beta of 0.37 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BioLine RX average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BioLine RX will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BioLine RX has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   BioLine RX Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BioLine RX

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BioLine RX. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.907.1013.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.626.8213.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.115.4211.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.8610.3014.74
Details

BioLine RX Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BioLine RX is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BioLine RX's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BioLine RX, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BioLine RX within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.37
σ
Overall volatility
3.51
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

BioLine RX Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BioLine RX for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BioLine RX can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BioLine RX generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
BioLine RX has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Net Loss for the year was (27.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
BioLine RX has accumulated about 40.61 M in cash with (23.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.28.

BioLine RX Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BioLine Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BioLine RX's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BioLine RX's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding715.2 M

BioLine RX Technical Analysis

BioLine RX's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BioLine Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BioLine RX. In general, you should focus on analyzing BioLine Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BioLine RX Predictive Forecast Models

BioLine RX's time-series forecasting models is one of many BioLine RX's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BioLine RX's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BioLine RX

Checking the ongoing alerts about BioLine RX for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BioLine RX help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BioLine RX generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
BioLine RX has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Net Loss for the year was (27.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
BioLine RX has accumulated about 40.61 M in cash with (23.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.28.

Other Information on Investing in BioLine Stock

BioLine RX financial ratios help investors to determine whether BioLine Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BioLine with respect to the benefits of owning BioLine RX security.