BLS International (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 374.95

BLS Stock   456.40  26.35  6.13%   
BLS International's future price is the expected price of BLS International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BLS International Services performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BLS International Backtesting, BLS International Valuation, BLS International Correlation, BLS International Hype Analysis, BLS International Volatility, BLS International History as well as BLS International Performance.
  
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BLS International Target Price Odds to finish below 374.95

The tendency of BLS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  374.95  or more in 90 days
 456.40 90 days 374.95 
about 23.05
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BLS International to drop to  374.95  or more in 90 days from now is about 23.05 (This BLS International Services probability density function shows the probability of BLS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BLS International price to stay between  374.95  and its current price of 456.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.78 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BLS International has a beta of 0.32 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BLS International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BLS International Services will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BLS International Services has an alpha of 0.0245, implying that it can generate a 0.0245 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   BLS International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BLS International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BLS International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
453.80456.51459.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
356.96359.67502.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
487.71490.42493.13
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

BLS International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BLS International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BLS International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BLS International Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BLS International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.32
σ
Overall volatility
26.71
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

BLS International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BLS International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BLS International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BLS International is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 74.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Stock recommendations by analyst for December 10 SAIL, BLS International and SRF - Business Today

BLS International Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BLS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BLS International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BLS International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding411.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments9.7 B

BLS International Technical Analysis

BLS International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BLS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BLS International Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing BLS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BLS International Predictive Forecast Models

BLS International's time-series forecasting models is one of many BLS International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BLS International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BLS International

Checking the ongoing alerts about BLS International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BLS International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BLS International is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 74.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Stock recommendations by analyst for December 10 SAIL, BLS International and SRF - Business Today

Other Information on Investing in BLS Stock

BLS International financial ratios help investors to determine whether BLS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BLS with respect to the benefits of owning BLS International security.