Blue Square (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 37,180

BLSR Stock  ILS 32,470  1,330  3.93%   
Blue Square's future price is the expected price of Blue Square instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Blue Square Real performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Blue Square Backtesting, Blue Square Valuation, Blue Square Correlation, Blue Square Hype Analysis, Blue Square Volatility, Blue Square History as well as Blue Square Performance.
  
Please specify Blue Square's target price for which you would like Blue Square odds to be computed.

Blue Square Target Price Odds to finish over 37,180

The tendency of Blue Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 32,470 90 days 32,470 
roughly 2.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blue Square to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.08 (This Blue Square Real probability density function shows the probability of Blue Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Blue Square Real has a beta of -0.0888 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Blue Square are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Blue Square Real is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Blue Square Real has an alpha of 0.2383, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Blue Square Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Blue Square

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blue Square Real. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
32,46832,47032,472
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26,15126,15335,717
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
33,18533,18733,189
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
29,72431,75633,788
Details

Blue Square Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Blue Square is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Blue Square's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Blue Square Real, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Blue Square within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.09
σ
Overall volatility
1,931
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Blue Square Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Blue Square for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Blue Square Real can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Blue Square Real has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Blue Square Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Blue Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Blue Square's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blue Square's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.7 M

Blue Square Technical Analysis

Blue Square's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Blue Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Blue Square Real. In general, you should focus on analyzing Blue Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Blue Square Predictive Forecast Models

Blue Square's time-series forecasting models is one of many Blue Square's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Blue Square's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Blue Square Real

Checking the ongoing alerts about Blue Square for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Blue Square Real help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Blue Square Real has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Blue Stock

Blue Square financial ratios help investors to determine whether Blue Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Blue with respect to the benefits of owning Blue Square security.