Balticon (Poland) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.5
| BLT Stock | 13.20 1.00 7.04% |
Balticon |
Balticon Target Price Odds to finish below 11.5
The tendency of Balticon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 11.50 or more in 90 days |
| 13.20 | 90 days | 11.50 | about 14.92 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Balticon to drop to 11.50 or more in 90 days from now is about 14.92 (This Balticon probability density function shows the probability of Balticon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Balticon price to stay between 11.50 and its current price of 13.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.23 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Balticon has a beta of 0.25 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Balticon average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Balticon will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Balticon has an alpha of 0.2058, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Balticon Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Balticon
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Balticon. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Balticon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Balticon Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Balticon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Balticon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Balticon, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Balticon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.85 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Balticon Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Balticon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Balticon can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Balticon had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Balticon Technical Analysis
Balticon's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Balticon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Balticon. In general, you should focus on analyzing Balticon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Balticon Predictive Forecast Models
Balticon's time-series forecasting models is one of many Balticon's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Balticon's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Balticon
Checking the ongoing alerts about Balticon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Balticon help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Balticon had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for Balticon Stock Analysis
When running Balticon's price analysis, check to measure Balticon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Balticon is operating at the current time. Most of Balticon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Balticon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Balticon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Balticon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.