Graha Layar (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1,996
| BLTZ Stock | IDR 2,000 0.00 0.00% |
Graha |
Graha Layar Target Price Odds to finish below 1,996
The tendency of Graha Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 2,000 | 90 days | 2,000 | about 50.18 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Graha Layar to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 50.18 (This Graha Layar Prima probability density function shows the probability of Graha Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Graha Layar has a beta of 0.0458 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Graha Layar average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Graha Layar Prima will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Graha Layar Prima has an alpha of 0.0655, implying that it can generate a 0.0655 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Graha Layar Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Graha Layar
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Graha Layar Prima. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Graha Layar Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Graha Layar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Graha Layar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Graha Layar Prima, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Graha Layar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 98.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Graha Layar Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Graha Layar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Graha Layar Prima can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Graha Layar Prima has accumulated 804.85 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.59, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Graha Layar Prima has a current ratio of 0.29, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Graha Layar until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Graha Layar's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Graha Layar Prima sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Graha to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Graha Layar's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 284.9 B. Net Loss for the year was (265.11 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.79 B. | |
| Graha Layar Prima has accumulated about 114.66 B in cash with (64.63 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 131.2. | |
| Roughly 91.0% of Graha Layar shares are held by company insiders |
Graha Layar Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Graha Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Graha Layar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Graha Layar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 873.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 142.8 B |
Graha Layar Technical Analysis
Graha Layar's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Graha Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Graha Layar Prima. In general, you should focus on analyzing Graha Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Graha Layar Predictive Forecast Models
Graha Layar's time-series forecasting models is one of many Graha Layar's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Graha Layar's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Graha Layar Prima
Checking the ongoing alerts about Graha Layar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Graha Layar Prima help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Graha Layar Prima has accumulated 804.85 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.59, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Graha Layar Prima has a current ratio of 0.29, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Graha Layar until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Graha Layar's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Graha Layar Prima sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Graha to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Graha Layar's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 284.9 B. Net Loss for the year was (265.11 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.79 B. | |
| Graha Layar Prima has accumulated about 114.66 B in cash with (64.63 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 131.2. | |
| Roughly 91.0% of Graha Layar shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Graha Stock
Graha Layar financial ratios help investors to determine whether Graha Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Graha with respect to the benefits of owning Graha Layar security.