Baic Motor Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.24
| BMCLF Stock | USD 0.30 0.01 3.45% |
BAIC |
BAIC MotorLimited Target Price Odds to finish below 0.24
The tendency of BAIC Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.24 or more in 90 days |
| 0.30 | 90 days | 0.24 | about 13.39 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BAIC MotorLimited to drop to $ 0.24 or more in 90 days from now is about 13.39 (This BAIC Motor probability density function shows the probability of BAIC Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BAIC MotorLimited price to stay between $ 0.24 and its current price of $0.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.5 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon BAIC MotorLimited has a beta of 0.98 suggesting BAIC Motor market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, BAIC MotorLimited is expected to follow. Additionally BAIC Motor has an alpha of 0.3559, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). BAIC MotorLimited Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BAIC MotorLimited
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BAIC MotorLimited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BAIC MotorLimited Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BAIC MotorLimited is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BAIC MotorLimited's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BAIC Motor, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BAIC MotorLimited within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.98 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
BAIC MotorLimited Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BAIC MotorLimited for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BAIC MotorLimited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BAIC MotorLimited is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| BAIC MotorLimited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| BAIC MotorLimited appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
BAIC MotorLimited Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BAIC Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BAIC MotorLimited's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BAIC MotorLimited's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8 B |
BAIC MotorLimited Technical Analysis
BAIC MotorLimited's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BAIC Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BAIC Motor. In general, you should focus on analyzing BAIC Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BAIC MotorLimited Predictive Forecast Models
BAIC MotorLimited's time-series forecasting models is one of many BAIC MotorLimited's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BAIC MotorLimited's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BAIC MotorLimited
Checking the ongoing alerts about BAIC MotorLimited for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BAIC MotorLimited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BAIC MotorLimited is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| BAIC MotorLimited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| BAIC MotorLimited appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in BAIC Pink Sheet
BAIC MotorLimited financial ratios help investors to determine whether BAIC Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BAIC with respect to the benefits of owning BAIC MotorLimited security.