Baird Midcap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 23.39
| BMDSX Fund | USD 23.85 0.01 0.04% |
Baird |
Baird Midcap Target Price Odds to finish over 23.39
The tendency of Baird Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 23.39 in 90 days |
| 23.85 | 90 days | 23.39 | about 8.08 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Baird Midcap to stay above $ 23.39 in 90 days from now is about 8.08 (This Baird Midcap Fund probability density function shows the probability of Baird Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Baird Midcap price to stay between $ 23.39 and its current price of $23.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.56 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Baird Midcap has a beta of 0.95 suggesting Baird Midcap Fund market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Baird Midcap is expected to follow. Additionally Baird Midcap Fund has an alpha of 8.0E-4, implying that it can generate a 7.92E-4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Baird Midcap Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Baird Midcap
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baird Midcap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Baird Midcap's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Baird Midcap Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Baird Midcap is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Baird Midcap's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Baird Midcap Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Baird Midcap within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.0008 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.95 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0067 |
Baird Midcap Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Baird Midcap for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Baird Midcap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from news.google.com: Baird Q3 2024 Mid Cap Growth Equity Fund Commentary - Seeking Alpha | |
| The fund generated three year return of -3.0% | |
| Baird Midcap holds 95.89% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Baird Midcap Technical Analysis
Baird Midcap's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Baird Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Baird Midcap Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Baird Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Baird Midcap Predictive Forecast Models
Baird Midcap's time-series forecasting models is one of many Baird Midcap's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Baird Midcap's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Baird Midcap
Checking the ongoing alerts about Baird Midcap for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Baird Midcap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Baird Q3 2024 Mid Cap Growth Equity Fund Commentary - Seeking Alpha | |
| The fund generated three year return of -3.0% | |
| Baird Midcap holds 95.89% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Other Information on Investing in Baird Mutual Fund
Baird Midcap financial ratios help investors to determine whether Baird Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Baird with respect to the benefits of owning Baird Midcap security.
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