BaoMinh Insurance (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 20526.99

BMI Stock   20,500  50.00  0.24%   
BaoMinh Insurance's future price is the expected price of BaoMinh Insurance instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BaoMinh Insurance Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BaoMinh Insurance Backtesting, BaoMinh Insurance Valuation, BaoMinh Insurance Correlation, BaoMinh Insurance Hype Analysis, BaoMinh Insurance Volatility, BaoMinh Insurance History as well as BaoMinh Insurance Performance.
  
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BaoMinh Insurance Target Price Odds to finish below 20526.99

The tendency of BaoMinh Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  20,527  after 90 days
 20,500 90 days 20,527 
about 16.9
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BaoMinh Insurance to stay under  20,527  after 90 days from now is about 16.9 (This BaoMinh Insurance Corp probability density function shows the probability of BaoMinh Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BaoMinh Insurance Corp price to stay between its current price of  20,500  and  20,527  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BaoMinh Insurance Corp has a beta of -0.16 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding BaoMinh Insurance are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, BaoMinh Insurance Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BaoMinh Insurance Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   BaoMinh Insurance Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BaoMinh Insurance

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BaoMinh Insurance Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20,49820,50020,502
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17,72217,72422,550
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20,80420,80620,808
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19,82820,59821,367
Details

BaoMinh Insurance Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BaoMinh Insurance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BaoMinh Insurance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BaoMinh Insurance Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BaoMinh Insurance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
889.86
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

BaoMinh Insurance Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BaoMinh Insurance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BaoMinh Insurance Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BaoMinh Insurance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

BaoMinh Insurance Technical Analysis

BaoMinh Insurance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BaoMinh Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BaoMinh Insurance Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing BaoMinh Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BaoMinh Insurance Predictive Forecast Models

BaoMinh Insurance's time-series forecasting models is one of many BaoMinh Insurance's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BaoMinh Insurance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BaoMinh Insurance Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about BaoMinh Insurance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BaoMinh Insurance Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BaoMinh Insurance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in BaoMinh Stock

BaoMinh Insurance financial ratios help investors to determine whether BaoMinh Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BaoMinh with respect to the benefits of owning BaoMinh Insurance security.