Bicicletas Monark (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 313.44
| BMKS3 Stock | BRL 310.00 1.00 0.32% |
Bicicletas |
Bicicletas Monark Target Price Odds to finish below 313.44
The tendency of Bicicletas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under R$ 313.44 after 90 days |
| 310.00 | 90 days | 313.44 | about 55.65 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bicicletas Monark to stay under R$ 313.44 after 90 days from now is about 55.65 (This Bicicletas Monark SA probability density function shows the probability of Bicicletas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bicicletas Monark price to stay between its current price of R$ 310.00 and R$ 313.44 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.46 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bicicletas Monark SA has a beta of -0.37 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bicicletas Monark are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bicicletas Monark SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bicicletas Monark SA has an alpha of 0.0404, implying that it can generate a 0.0404 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Bicicletas Monark Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bicicletas Monark
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bicicletas Monark. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bicicletas Monark Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bicicletas Monark is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bicicletas Monark's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bicicletas Monark SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bicicletas Monark within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.81 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Bicicletas Monark Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bicicletas Monark for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bicicletas Monark can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bicicletas Monark SA has accumulated about 146.27 M in cash with (1.81 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 330.73. |
Bicicletas Monark Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bicicletas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bicicletas Monark's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bicicletas Monark's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 454.6 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 146.3 M |
Bicicletas Monark Technical Analysis
Bicicletas Monark's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bicicletas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bicicletas Monark SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bicicletas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bicicletas Monark Predictive Forecast Models
Bicicletas Monark's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bicicletas Monark's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bicicletas Monark's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bicicletas Monark
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bicicletas Monark for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bicicletas Monark help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bicicletas Monark SA has accumulated about 146.27 M in cash with (1.81 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 330.73. |
Additional Tools for Bicicletas Stock Analysis
When running Bicicletas Monark's price analysis, check to measure Bicicletas Monark's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bicicletas Monark is operating at the current time. Most of Bicicletas Monark's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bicicletas Monark's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bicicletas Monark's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bicicletas Monark to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.