Bank Makramah (Pakistan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.14
| BML Stock | 2.12 0.04 1.85% |
Bank |
Bank Makramah Target Price Odds to finish over 2.14
The tendency of Bank Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 2.14 or more in 90 days |
| 2.12 | 90 days | 2.14 | about 9.64 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bank Makramah to move over 2.14 or more in 90 days from now is about 9.64 (This Bank Makramah probability density function shows the probability of Bank Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bank Makramah price to stay between its current price of 2.12 and 2.14 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.91 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bank Makramah has a beta of 0.25 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bank Makramah average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bank Makramah will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bank Makramah has an alpha of 0.0755, implying that it can generate a 0.0755 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Bank Makramah Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bank Makramah
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank Makramah. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bank Makramah Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bank Makramah is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bank Makramah's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bank Makramah, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bank Makramah within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0044 |
Bank Makramah Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bank Makramah for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bank Makramah can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bank Makramah generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bank Makramah has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Bank Makramah Technical Analysis
Bank Makramah's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bank Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bank Makramah. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bank Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bank Makramah Predictive Forecast Models
Bank Makramah's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bank Makramah's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bank Makramah's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bank Makramah
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bank Makramah for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bank Makramah help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bank Makramah generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bank Makramah has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Additional Tools for Bank Stock Analysis
When running Bank Makramah's price analysis, check to measure Bank Makramah's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bank Makramah is operating at the current time. Most of Bank Makramah's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bank Makramah's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bank Makramah's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bank Makramah to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.