Fundo De (Brazil) Odds of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 98.80

BMLC11 Fund  BRL 96.73  1.24  1.27%   
Fundo De's future price is the expected price of Fundo De instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fundo de Investimento performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fundo De Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Fundo De Correlation, Fundo De Hype Analysis, Fundo De Volatility, Fundo De History as well as Fundo De Performance.
  
Please specify Fundo De's target price for which you would like Fundo De odds to be computed.

Fundo De Target Price Odds to finish over 98.80

The tendency of Fundo Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over R$ 98.80  or more in 90 days
 96.73 90 days 98.80 
about 45.58
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fundo De to move over R$ 98.80  or more in 90 days from now is about 45.58 (This Fundo de Investimento probability density function shows the probability of Fundo Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fundo de Investimento price to stay between its current price of R$ 96.73  and R$ 98.80  at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.84 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fundo de Investimento has a beta of -0.59 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fundo De are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fundo de Investimento is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fundo de Investimento has an alpha of 0.0518, implying that it can generate a 0.0518 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fundo De Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fundo De

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fundo de Investimento. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
95.2896.7398.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
87.9789.42106.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
95.8597.3098.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
95.9797.1498.31
Details

Fundo De Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fundo De is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fundo De's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fundo de Investimento, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fundo De within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.59
σ
Overall volatility
1.71
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Fundo De Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fundo De for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fundo de Investimento can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fundo De generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Fundo De Technical Analysis

Fundo De's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fundo Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fundo de Investimento. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fundo Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fundo De Predictive Forecast Models

Fundo De's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fundo De's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fundo De's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fundo de Investimento

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fundo De for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fundo de Investimento help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fundo De generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Fundo Fund

Fundo De financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fundo Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fundo with respect to the benefits of owning Fundo De security.
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