Blackrock Bond Index Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 9.05

BMOAX Fund  USD 9.07  0.03  0.33%   
Blackrock Bond's future price is the expected price of Blackrock Bond instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Blackrock Bond Index performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Blackrock Bond Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Blackrock Bond Correlation, Blackrock Bond Hype Analysis, Blackrock Bond Volatility, Blackrock Bond History as well as Blackrock Bond Performance.
  
Please specify Blackrock Bond's target price for which you would like Blackrock Bond odds to be computed.

Blackrock Bond Target Price Odds to finish below 9.05

The tendency of Blackrock Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 9.05  or more in 90 days
 9.07 90 days 9.05 
about 31.71
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blackrock Bond to drop to $ 9.05  or more in 90 days from now is about 31.71 (This Blackrock Bond Index probability density function shows the probability of Blackrock Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Blackrock Bond Index price to stay between $ 9.05  and its current price of $9.07 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.78 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Blackrock Bond Index has a beta of -0.0794 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Blackrock Bond are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Blackrock Bond Index is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Blackrock Bond Index has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Blackrock Bond Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Blackrock Bond

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blackrock Bond Index. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.769.079.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.779.089.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.799.109.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.919.009.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Blackrock Bond. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Blackrock Bond's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Blackrock Bond's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Blackrock Bond Index.

Blackrock Bond Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Blackrock Bond is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Blackrock Bond's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Blackrock Bond Index, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Blackrock Bond within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0094
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio -0.47

Blackrock Bond Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Blackrock Bond for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Blackrock Bond Index can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Blackrock Bond Index generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Blackrock Bond Index generated five year return of -1.0%
This fund holds about 5.74% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Blackrock Bond Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Blackrock Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Blackrock Bond's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blackrock Bond's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Blackrock Bond Technical Analysis

Blackrock Bond's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Blackrock Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Blackrock Bond Index. In general, you should focus on analyzing Blackrock Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Blackrock Bond Predictive Forecast Models

Blackrock Bond's time-series forecasting models is one of many Blackrock Bond's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Blackrock Bond's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Blackrock Bond Index

Checking the ongoing alerts about Blackrock Bond for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Blackrock Bond Index help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Blackrock Bond Index generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Blackrock Bond Index generated five year return of -1.0%
This fund holds about 5.74% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Blackrock Mutual Fund

Blackrock Bond financial ratios help investors to determine whether Blackrock Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Blackrock with respect to the benefits of owning Blackrock Bond security.
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