Ishares Aggregate Bond Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 8.13
| BMOPX Fund | USD 9.06 0.02 0.22% |
Ishares |
Ishares Us Target Price Odds to finish below 8.13
The tendency of Ishares Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 8.13 or more in 90 days |
| 9.06 | 90 days | 8.13 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ishares Us to drop to $ 8.13 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ishares Aggregate Bond probability density function shows the probability of Ishares Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ishares Aggregate Bond price to stay between $ 8.13 and its current price of $9.06 at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.77 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ishares Aggregate Bond has a beta of -0.0624 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ishares Us are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ishares Aggregate Bond is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ishares Aggregate Bond has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Ishares Us Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ishares Us
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ishares Aggregate Bond. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ishares Us Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ishares Us is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ishares Us' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ishares Aggregate Bond, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ishares Us within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.39 |
Ishares Us Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ishares Us for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ishares Aggregate Bond can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ishares Us generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ishares Aggregate Bond generated five year return of 0.0% | |
| This fund holds about 5.74% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Ishares Us Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ishares Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ishares Us' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ishares Us' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Ishares Us Technical Analysis
Ishares Us' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ishares Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ishares Aggregate Bond. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ishares Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ishares Us Predictive Forecast Models
Ishares Us' time-series forecasting models is one of many Ishares Us' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ishares Us' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ishares Aggregate Bond
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ishares Us for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ishares Aggregate Bond help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ishares Us generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ishares Aggregate Bond generated five year return of 0.0% | |
| This fund holds about 5.74% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Ishares Mutual Fund
Ishares Us financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ishares Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ishares with respect to the benefits of owning Ishares Us security.
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