BCAP Mid (Thailand) Odds of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 7.84
| BMSCG Etf | 8.95 0.03 0.34% |
BCAP |
BCAP Mid Target Price Odds to finish below 7.84
The tendency of BCAP Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 7.84 or more in 90 days |
| 8.95 | 90 days | 7.84 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BCAP Mid to drop to 7.84 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This BCAP Mid Small probability density function shows the probability of BCAP Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BCAP Mid Small price to stay between 7.84 and its current price of 8.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.35 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BCAP Mid Small has a beta of -0.0224 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding BCAP Mid are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, BCAP Mid Small is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BCAP Mid Small has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. BCAP Mid Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for BCAP Mid
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BCAP Mid Small. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BCAP Mid. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BCAP Mid's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BCAP Mid's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BCAP Mid Small.BCAP Mid Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BCAP Mid is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BCAP Mid's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BCAP Mid Small, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BCAP Mid within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0099 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
BCAP Mid Technical Analysis
BCAP Mid's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BCAP Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BCAP Mid Small. In general, you should focus on analyzing BCAP Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BCAP Mid Predictive Forecast Models
BCAP Mid's time-series forecasting models is one of many BCAP Mid's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BCAP Mid's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards BCAP Mid in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, BCAP Mid's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from BCAP Mid options trading.