BCAP MSCI (Thailand) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 10.28

BMSCITH Etf  THB 10.28  0.04  0.39%   
BCAP MSCI's future price is the expected price of BCAP MSCI instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BCAP MSCI Thailand performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BCAP MSCI Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, BCAP MSCI Correlation, BCAP MSCI Hype Analysis, BCAP MSCI Volatility, BCAP MSCI History as well as BCAP MSCI Performance.
  
Please specify BCAP MSCI's target price for which you would like BCAP MSCI odds to be computed.

BCAP MSCI Target Price Odds to finish over 10.28

The tendency of BCAP Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10.28 90 days 10.28 
about 73.4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BCAP MSCI to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 73.4 (This BCAP MSCI Thailand probability density function shows the probability of BCAP Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BCAP MSCI has a beta of 0.0127 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BCAP MSCI average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BCAP MSCI Thailand will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BCAP MSCI Thailand has an alpha of 0.0925, implying that it can generate a 0.0925 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   BCAP MSCI Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BCAP MSCI

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BCAP MSCI Thailand. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.4610.2811.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.2511.2712.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.3610.1811.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.1810.3810.59
Details

BCAP MSCI Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BCAP MSCI is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BCAP MSCI's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BCAP MSCI Thailand, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BCAP MSCI within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.24
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

BCAP MSCI Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BCAP MSCI for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BCAP MSCI Thailand can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -4.0%
BCAP MSCI Thailand holds 99.47% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

BCAP MSCI Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BCAP Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BCAP MSCI's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BCAP MSCI's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day88.3k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month136.33k

BCAP MSCI Technical Analysis

BCAP MSCI's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BCAP Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BCAP MSCI Thailand. In general, you should focus on analyzing BCAP Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BCAP MSCI Predictive Forecast Models

BCAP MSCI's time-series forecasting models is one of many BCAP MSCI's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BCAP MSCI's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BCAP MSCI Thailand

Checking the ongoing alerts about BCAP MSCI for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BCAP MSCI Thailand help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -4.0%
BCAP MSCI Thailand holds 99.47% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in BCAP Etf

BCAP MSCI financial ratios help investors to determine whether BCAP Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BCAP with respect to the benefits of owning BCAP MSCI security.