Bms Birlesik (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 27.9

BMSTL Stock   28.50  0.60  2.15%   
Bms Birlesik's future price is the expected price of Bms Birlesik instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bms Birlesik Metal performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bms Birlesik Backtesting, Bms Birlesik Valuation, Bms Birlesik Correlation, Bms Birlesik Hype Analysis, Bms Birlesik Volatility, Bms Birlesik History as well as Bms Birlesik Performance.
  
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Bms Birlesik Target Price Odds to finish below 27.9

The tendency of Bms Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  27.90  or more in 90 days
 28.50 90 days 27.90 
roughly 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bms Birlesik to drop to  27.90  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Bms Birlesik Metal probability density function shows the probability of Bms Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bms Birlesik Metal price to stay between  27.90  and its current price of 28.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.82 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bms Birlesik has a beta of 0.21 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bms Birlesik average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bms Birlesik Metal will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bms Birlesik Metal has an alpha of 0.2085, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bms Birlesik Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bms Birlesik

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bms Birlesik Metal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.9628.5031.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.7423.2831.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.6428.1830.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27.5928.3029.01
Details

Bms Birlesik Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bms Birlesik is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bms Birlesik's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bms Birlesik Metal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bms Birlesik within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.21
σ
Overall volatility
1.70
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Bms Birlesik Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bms Birlesik for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bms Birlesik Metal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Bms Birlesik Technical Analysis

Bms Birlesik's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bms Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bms Birlesik Metal. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bms Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bms Birlesik Predictive Forecast Models

Bms Birlesik's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bms Birlesik's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bms Birlesik's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bms Birlesik Metal

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bms Birlesik for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bms Birlesik Metal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Bms Stock

Bms Birlesik financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bms Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bms with respect to the benefits of owning Bms Birlesik security.