Bao Ngoc (Vietnam) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10780.0

BNA Stock   9,600  200.00  2.04%   
Bao Ngoc's future price is the expected price of Bao Ngoc instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bao Ngoc Investment performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bao Ngoc Backtesting, Bao Ngoc Valuation, Bao Ngoc Correlation, Bao Ngoc Hype Analysis, Bao Ngoc Volatility, Bao Ngoc History as well as Bao Ngoc Performance.
  
Please specify Bao Ngoc's target price for which you would like Bao Ngoc odds to be computed.

Bao Ngoc Target Price Odds to finish over 10780.0

The tendency of Bao Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  10,780  or more in 90 days
 9,600 90 days 10,780 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bao Ngoc to move over  10,780  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Bao Ngoc Investment probability density function shows the probability of Bao Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bao Ngoc Investment price to stay between its current price of  9,600  and  10,780  at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.47 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bao Ngoc has a beta of 0.38 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bao Ngoc average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bao Ngoc Investment will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bao Ngoc Investment has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Bao Ngoc Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bao Ngoc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bao Ngoc Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9,5989,6009,602
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9,5789,58010,560
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9,4979,4999,501
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9,2009,5209,840
Details

Bao Ngoc Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bao Ngoc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bao Ngoc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bao Ngoc Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bao Ngoc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.2
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.38
σ
Overall volatility
393.71
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Bao Ngoc Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bao Ngoc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bao Ngoc Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bao Ngoc Investment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Bao Ngoc Technical Analysis

Bao Ngoc's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bao Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bao Ngoc Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bao Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bao Ngoc Predictive Forecast Models

Bao Ngoc's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bao Ngoc's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bao Ngoc's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bao Ngoc Investment

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bao Ngoc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bao Ngoc Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bao Ngoc Investment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Bao Stock

Bao Ngoc financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bao Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bao with respect to the benefits of owning Bao Ngoc security.