Banque Nationale (Belgium) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 390.91

BNB Stock  EUR 403.00  7.00  1.71%   
Banque Nationale's future price is the expected price of Banque Nationale instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Banque nationale de performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Banque Nationale Backtesting, Banque Nationale Valuation, Banque Nationale Correlation, Banque Nationale Hype Analysis, Banque Nationale Volatility, Banque Nationale History as well as Banque Nationale Performance.
  
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Banque Nationale Target Price Odds to finish over 390.91

The tendency of Banque Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 390.91  in 90 days
 403.00 90 days 390.91 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Banque Nationale to stay above € 390.91  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Banque nationale de probability density function shows the probability of Banque Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Banque nationale price to stay between € 390.91  and its current price of €403.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Banque Nationale has a beta of 0.0943 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Banque Nationale average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Banque nationale de will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Banque nationale de has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Banque Nationale Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Banque Nationale

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Banque nationale. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
402.14403.00403.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
386.02386.88443.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
405.83406.69407.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
401.42415.94430.47
Details

Banque Nationale Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Banque Nationale is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Banque Nationale's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Banque nationale de, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Banque Nationale within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
7.40
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Banque Nationale Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Banque Nationale for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Banque nationale can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Banque nationale generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Banque Nationale Technical Analysis

Banque Nationale's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Banque Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Banque nationale de. In general, you should focus on analyzing Banque Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Banque Nationale Predictive Forecast Models

Banque Nationale's time-series forecasting models is one of many Banque Nationale's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Banque Nationale's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Banque nationale

Checking the ongoing alerts about Banque Nationale for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Banque nationale help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Banque nationale generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Additional Tools for Banque Stock Analysis

When running Banque Nationale's price analysis, check to measure Banque Nationale's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Banque Nationale is operating at the current time. Most of Banque Nationale's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Banque Nationale's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Banque Nationale's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Banque Nationale to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.