Bounce Mobile Systems Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.022

BNCM Stock  USD 0.03  0.01  27.27%   
Bounce Mobile's future price is the expected price of Bounce Mobile instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bounce Mobile Systems performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bounce Mobile Backtesting, Bounce Mobile Valuation, Bounce Mobile Correlation, Bounce Mobile Hype Analysis, Bounce Mobile Volatility, Bounce Mobile History as well as Bounce Mobile Performance.
  
Please specify Bounce Mobile's target price for which you would like Bounce Mobile odds to be computed.

Bounce Mobile Target Price Odds to finish below 0.022

The tendency of Bounce Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.02  or more in 90 days
 0.03 90 days 0.02 
about 15.52
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bounce Mobile to drop to $ 0.02  or more in 90 days from now is about 15.52 (This Bounce Mobile Systems probability density function shows the probability of Bounce Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bounce Mobile Systems price to stay between $ 0.02  and its current price of $0.028 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.78 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.45 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Bounce Mobile will likely underperform. In addition to that Bounce Mobile Systems has an alpha of 2.6588, implying that it can generate a 2.66 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bounce Mobile Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bounce Mobile

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bounce Mobile Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bounce Mobile's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0222.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0322.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00040.0222.46
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.020.040.05
Details

Bounce Mobile Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bounce Mobile is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bounce Mobile's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bounce Mobile Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bounce Mobile within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
2.66
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.45
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Bounce Mobile Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bounce Mobile for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bounce Mobile Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bounce Mobile is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Bounce Mobile has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Bounce Mobile appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Bounce Mobile Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bounce Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bounce Mobile's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bounce Mobile's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Bounce Mobile Technical Analysis

Bounce Mobile's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bounce Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bounce Mobile Systems. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bounce Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bounce Mobile Predictive Forecast Models

Bounce Mobile's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bounce Mobile's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bounce Mobile's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bounce Mobile Systems

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bounce Mobile for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bounce Mobile Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bounce Mobile is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Bounce Mobile has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Bounce Mobile appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Other Information on Investing in Bounce Pink Sheet

Bounce Mobile financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bounce Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bounce with respect to the benefits of owning Bounce Mobile security.