Quadratic Deflation Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 16.70
| BNDD Etf | USD 14.19 0.03 0.21% |
Closest to current price Quadratic long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Quadratic |
Quadratic Deflation Target Price Odds to finish over 16.70
The tendency of Quadratic Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 16.70 or more in 90 days |
| 14.19 | 90 days | 16.70 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Quadratic Deflation to move over $ 16.70 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Quadratic Deflation ETF probability density function shows the probability of Quadratic Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Quadratic Deflation ETF price to stay between its current price of $ 14.19 and $ 16.70 at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.09 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Quadratic Deflation has a beta of 0.0447 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Quadratic Deflation average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Quadratic Deflation ETF will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Quadratic Deflation ETF has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Quadratic Deflation Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Quadratic Deflation
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Quadratic Deflation ETF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Quadratic Deflation's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Quadratic Deflation Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Quadratic Deflation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Quadratic Deflation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Quadratic Deflation ETF, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Quadratic Deflation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Quadratic Deflation Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Quadratic Deflation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Quadratic Deflation ETF can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Quadratic Deflation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Quadratic Deflation ETF declares monthly distribution of 0.0421 | |
| The fund created three year return of -6.0% | |
| Quadratic Deflation ETF holds all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments |
Quadratic Deflation Technical Analysis
Quadratic Deflation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Quadratic Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Quadratic Deflation ETF. In general, you should focus on analyzing Quadratic Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Quadratic Deflation Predictive Forecast Models
Quadratic Deflation's time-series forecasting models is one of many Quadratic Deflation's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Quadratic Deflation's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Quadratic Deflation ETF
Checking the ongoing alerts about Quadratic Deflation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Quadratic Deflation ETF help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Quadratic Deflation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Quadratic Deflation ETF declares monthly distribution of 0.0421 | |
| The fund created three year return of -6.0% | |
| Quadratic Deflation ETF holds all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments |
Check out Quadratic Deflation Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Quadratic Deflation Correlation, Quadratic Deflation Hype Analysis, Quadratic Deflation Volatility, Quadratic Deflation History as well as Quadratic Deflation Performance. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
The market value of Quadratic Deflation ETF is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Quadratic that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Quadratic Deflation's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Quadratic Deflation's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Quadratic Deflation's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Quadratic Deflation's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Quadratic Deflation's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Quadratic Deflation is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Quadratic Deflation's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.