Bengal Energy Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 17.08

BNGLF Stock  USD 0.01  0  28.05%   
Bengal Energy's future price is the expected price of Bengal Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bengal Energy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bengal Energy Backtesting, Bengal Energy Valuation, Bengal Energy Correlation, Bengal Energy Hype Analysis, Bengal Energy Volatility, Bengal Energy History as well as Bengal Energy Performance.
  
Please specify Bengal Energy's target price for which you would like Bengal Energy odds to be computed.

Bengal Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 17.08

The tendency of Bengal Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 17.08  or more in 90 days
 0.01 90 days 17.08 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bengal Energy to move over $ 17.08  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Bengal Energy probability density function shows the probability of Bengal Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bengal Energy price to stay between its current price of $ 0.01  and $ 17.08  at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.01 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 3.47 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Bengal Energy will likely underperform. Additionally Bengal Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Bengal Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bengal Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bengal Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0117.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0117.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00030.0117.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.00030.010.01
Details

Bengal Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bengal Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bengal Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bengal Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bengal Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones3.47
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Bengal Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bengal Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bengal Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bengal Energy had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Bengal Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Bengal Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 7.65 M. Net Loss for the year was (374 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.11 M.
About 84.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Bengal Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bengal Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bengal Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bengal Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding485.3 M

Bengal Energy Technical Analysis

Bengal Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bengal Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bengal Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bengal Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bengal Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Bengal Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bengal Energy's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bengal Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bengal Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bengal Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bengal Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bengal Energy had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Bengal Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Bengal Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 7.65 M. Net Loss for the year was (374 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.11 M.
About 84.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Bengal Pink Sheet

Bengal Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bengal Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bengal with respect to the benefits of owning Bengal Energy security.