Brenmiller Energy Ltd Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.74

BNRG Stock  USD 0.74  0.02  2.78%   
Brenmiller Energy's future price is the expected price of Brenmiller Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Brenmiller Energy Ltd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Brenmiller Energy Backtesting, Brenmiller Energy Valuation, Brenmiller Energy Correlation, Brenmiller Energy Hype Analysis, Brenmiller Energy Volatility, Brenmiller Energy History as well as Brenmiller Energy Performance.
  
At this time, Brenmiller Energy's Price Fair Value is most likely to decrease significantly in the upcoming years. Please specify Brenmiller Energy's target price for which you would like Brenmiller Energy odds to be computed.

Brenmiller Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 0.74

The tendency of Brenmiller Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 0.74 90 days 0.74 
about 22.59
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Brenmiller Energy to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 22.59 (This Brenmiller Energy Ltd probability density function shows the probability of Brenmiller Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Brenmiller Energy Ltd has a beta of -6.52 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Brenmiller Energy Ltd are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Brenmiller Energy is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover Brenmiller Energy Ltd has an alpha of 1.7066, implying that it can generate a 1.71 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Brenmiller Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Brenmiller Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brenmiller Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.050.9319.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.7119.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.7619.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.690.800.91
Details

Brenmiller Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Brenmiller Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Brenmiller Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Brenmiller Energy Ltd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Brenmiller Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.71
β
Beta against Dow Jones-6.52
σ
Overall volatility
0.16
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Brenmiller Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Brenmiller Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Brenmiller Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Brenmiller Energy is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Brenmiller Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Brenmiller Energy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Brenmiller Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 621 K. Net Loss for the year was (9.65 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (3.66 M).
Brenmiller Energy Ltd currently holds about 9.14 M in cash with (6.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.64.
Brenmiller Energy has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from businesswire.com: Brenmiller Issues 2023-2024 ESG Report Charting the Course to Net-Zero

Brenmiller Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Brenmiller Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Brenmiller Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brenmiller Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingM
Cash And Short Term Investments3.2 M

Brenmiller Energy Technical Analysis

Brenmiller Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Brenmiller Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Brenmiller Energy Ltd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Brenmiller Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Brenmiller Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Brenmiller Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Brenmiller Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Brenmiller Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Brenmiller Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Brenmiller Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Brenmiller Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Brenmiller Energy is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Brenmiller Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Brenmiller Energy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Brenmiller Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 621 K. Net Loss for the year was (9.65 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (3.66 M).
Brenmiller Energy Ltd currently holds about 9.14 M in cash with (6.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.64.
Brenmiller Energy has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from businesswire.com: Brenmiller Issues 2023-2024 ESG Report Charting the Course to Net-Zero
When determining whether Brenmiller Energy is a strong investment it is important to analyze Brenmiller Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Brenmiller Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Brenmiller Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Electric Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Brenmiller Energy. If investors know Brenmiller will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Brenmiller Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(2.42)
Revenue Per Share
0.015
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.61)
Return On Assets
(0.42)
Return On Equity
(1.04)
The market value of Brenmiller Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Brenmiller that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Brenmiller Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Brenmiller Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Brenmiller Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Brenmiller Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Brenmiller Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Brenmiller Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Brenmiller Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.