Boldt SA (Argentina) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 53.23

BOLT Stock  ARS 52.90  0.10  0.19%   
Boldt SA's future price is the expected price of Boldt SA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Boldt SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Boldt SA Backtesting, Boldt SA Valuation, Boldt SA Correlation, Boldt SA Hype Analysis, Boldt SA Volatility, Boldt SA History as well as Boldt SA Performance.
  
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Boldt SA Target Price Odds to finish below 53.23

The tendency of Boldt Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  53.23  after 90 days
 52.90 90 days 53.23 
about 83.56
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Boldt SA to stay under  53.23  after 90 days from now is about 83.56 (This Boldt SA probability density function shows the probability of Boldt Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Boldt SA price to stay between its current price of  52.90  and  53.23  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Boldt SA has a beta of -0.41 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Boldt SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Boldt SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Boldt SA has an alpha of 0.0854, implying that it can generate a 0.0854 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Boldt SA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Boldt SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Boldt SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
50.2953.0055.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
41.2443.9558.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
47.6350.3453.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
44.1750.5456.90
Details

Boldt SA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Boldt SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Boldt SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Boldt SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Boldt SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.41
σ
Overall volatility
2.81
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Boldt SA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Boldt SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Boldt SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 8.57 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.09 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.16 B.

Boldt SA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Boldt Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Boldt SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Boldt SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.2 B

Boldt SA Technical Analysis

Boldt SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Boldt Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Boldt SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Boldt Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Boldt SA Predictive Forecast Models

Boldt SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Boldt SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Boldt SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Boldt SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Boldt SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Boldt SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 8.57 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.09 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.16 B.

Other Information on Investing in Boldt Stock

Boldt SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Boldt Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Boldt with respect to the benefits of owning Boldt SA security.