Batavia Prosperindo (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 257.71
| BPFI Stock | IDR 306.00 4.00 1.29% |
Batavia |
Batavia Prosperindo Target Price Odds to finish over 257.71
The tendency of Batavia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 257.71 in 90 days |
| 306.00 | 90 days | 257.71 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Batavia Prosperindo to stay above 257.71 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Batavia Prosperindo Finance probability density function shows the probability of Batavia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Batavia Prosperindo price to stay between 257.71 and its current price of 306.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.09 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Batavia Prosperindo Finance has a beta of -0.0639 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Batavia Prosperindo are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Batavia Prosperindo Finance is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Batavia Prosperindo Finance has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Batavia Prosperindo Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Batavia Prosperindo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Batavia Prosperindo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Batavia Prosperindo Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Batavia Prosperindo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Batavia Prosperindo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Batavia Prosperindo Finance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Batavia Prosperindo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Batavia Prosperindo Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Batavia Prosperindo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Batavia Prosperindo can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Batavia Prosperindo generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Batavia Prosperindo Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Batavia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Batavia Prosperindo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Batavia Prosperindo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.3 B |
Batavia Prosperindo Technical Analysis
Batavia Prosperindo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Batavia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Batavia Prosperindo Finance. In general, you should focus on analyzing Batavia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Batavia Prosperindo Predictive Forecast Models
Batavia Prosperindo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Batavia Prosperindo's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Batavia Prosperindo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Batavia Prosperindo
Checking the ongoing alerts about Batavia Prosperindo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Batavia Prosperindo help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Batavia Prosperindo generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Batavia Stock
Batavia Prosperindo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Batavia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Batavia with respect to the benefits of owning Batavia Prosperindo security.