Popular Capital Trust Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 24.85
| BPOPM Stock | USD 25.56 0.06 0.24% |
Popular |
Popular Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 24.85
The tendency of Popular Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 24.85 or more in 90 days |
| 25.56 | 90 days | 24.85 | about 1.31 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Popular Capital to drop to $ 24.85 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.31 (This Popular Capital Trust probability density function shows the probability of Popular Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Popular Capital Trust price to stay between $ 24.85 and its current price of $25.56 at the end of the 90-day period is about 55.22 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Popular Capital has a beta of 0.0996 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Popular Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Popular Capital Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Popular Capital Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Popular Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Popular Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Popular Capital Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Popular Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Popular Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Popular Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Popular Capital Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Popular Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Popular Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Popular Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Popular Capital Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Popular Capital has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| On 1st of November 2024 Popular Capital paid $ 0.1276 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Earnings Troubles May Signal Larger Issues for Popular Vehicles and Services Shareholders |
Popular Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Popular Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Popular Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Popular Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 71.8 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 159.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | -420.5 M |
Popular Capital Technical Analysis
Popular Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Popular Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Popular Capital Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Popular Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Popular Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Popular Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Popular Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Popular Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Popular Capital Trust
Checking the ongoing alerts about Popular Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Popular Capital Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Popular Capital has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| On 1st of November 2024 Popular Capital paid $ 0.1276 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Earnings Troubles May Signal Larger Issues for Popular Vehicles and Services Shareholders |
Check out Popular Capital Backtesting, Popular Capital Valuation, Popular Capital Correlation, Popular Capital Hype Analysis, Popular Capital Volatility, Popular Capital History as well as Popular Capital Performance. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Is Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Popular Capital. If investors know Popular will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Popular Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Popular Capital Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Popular that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Popular Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Popular Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Popular Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Popular Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Popular Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Popular Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Popular Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.