Popular Capital Trust Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 25.43

BPOPM Stock  USD 25.51  0.05  0.20%   
Popular Capital's future price is the expected price of Popular Capital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Popular Capital Trust performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Popular Capital Backtesting, Popular Capital Valuation, Popular Capital Correlation, Popular Capital Hype Analysis, Popular Capital Volatility, Popular Capital History as well as Popular Capital Performance.
  
As of the 27th of November 2024, Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to 0.04, while Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 1.30. Please specify Popular Capital's target price for which you would like Popular Capital odds to be computed.

Popular Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 25.43

The tendency of Popular Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 25.43  in 90 days
 25.51 90 days 25.43 
about 60.51
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Popular Capital to stay above $ 25.43  in 90 days from now is about 60.51 (This Popular Capital Trust probability density function shows the probability of Popular Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Popular Capital Trust price to stay between $ 25.43  and its current price of $25.51 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.51 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Popular Capital Trust has a beta of -0.2 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Popular Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Popular Capital Trust is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Popular Capital Trust has an alpha of 0.0449, implying that it can generate a 0.0449 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Popular Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Popular Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Popular Capital Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.8225.5126.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.7121.4028.06
Details

Popular Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Popular Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Popular Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Popular Capital Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Popular Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.2
σ
Overall volatility
0.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Popular Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Popular Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Popular Capital Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Popular Capital has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 1st of November 2024 Popular Capital paid $ 0.1276 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from patch.com: Popular Detroit Bar Closing Down At The End Of 2024

Popular Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Popular Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Popular Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Popular Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding71.8 M
Dividends Paid159.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments-420.5 M

Popular Capital Technical Analysis

Popular Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Popular Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Popular Capital Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Popular Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Popular Capital Predictive Forecast Models

Popular Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Popular Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Popular Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Popular Capital Trust

Checking the ongoing alerts about Popular Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Popular Capital Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Popular Capital has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 1st of November 2024 Popular Capital paid $ 0.1276 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from patch.com: Popular Detroit Bar Closing Down At The End Of 2024
When determining whether Popular Capital Trust is a strong investment it is important to analyze Popular Capital's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Popular Capital's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Popular Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Popular Capital. If investors know Popular will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Popular Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Popular Capital Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Popular that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Popular Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Popular Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Popular Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Popular Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Popular Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Popular Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Popular Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.