Bangkok Ranch (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.87

BR Stock   1.87  0.01  0.54%   
Bangkok Ranch's future price is the expected price of Bangkok Ranch instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bangkok Ranch PCL performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bangkok Ranch Backtesting, Bangkok Ranch Valuation, Bangkok Ranch Correlation, Bangkok Ranch Hype Analysis, Bangkok Ranch Volatility, Bangkok Ranch History as well as Bangkok Ranch Performance.
  
Please specify Bangkok Ranch's target price for which you would like Bangkok Ranch odds to be computed.

Bangkok Ranch Target Price Odds to finish below 1.87

The tendency of Bangkok Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 1.87 90 days 1.87 
about 10.06
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bangkok Ranch to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 10.06 (This Bangkok Ranch PCL probability density function shows the probability of Bangkok Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Bangkok Ranch has a beta of 0.0856 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bangkok Ranch average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bangkok Ranch PCL will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bangkok Ranch PCL has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Bangkok Ranch Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bangkok Ranch

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bangkok Ranch PCL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.751.872.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.451.572.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.701.822.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.841.891.93
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bangkok Ranch. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bangkok Ranch's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bangkok Ranch's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bangkok Ranch PCL.

Bangkok Ranch Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bangkok Ranch is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bangkok Ranch's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bangkok Ranch PCL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bangkok Ranch within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio -0.31

Bangkok Ranch Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bangkok Ranch for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bangkok Ranch PCL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bangkok Ranch PCL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Bangkok Ranch PCL may become a speculative penny stock
Bangkok Ranch PCL has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 7.26 B. Net Loss for the year was (55.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.15 B.
About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Bangkok Ranch Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bangkok Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bangkok Ranch's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bangkok Ranch's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding912.8 M

Bangkok Ranch Technical Analysis

Bangkok Ranch's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bangkok Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bangkok Ranch PCL. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bangkok Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bangkok Ranch Predictive Forecast Models

Bangkok Ranch's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bangkok Ranch's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bangkok Ranch's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bangkok Ranch PCL

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bangkok Ranch for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bangkok Ranch PCL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bangkok Ranch PCL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Bangkok Ranch PCL may become a speculative penny stock
Bangkok Ranch PCL has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 7.26 B. Net Loss for the year was (55.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.15 B.
About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Bangkok Stock

Bangkok Ranch financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bangkok Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bangkok with respect to the benefits of owning Bangkok Ranch security.