Big Rock Brewery Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.05
| BR Stock | CAD 1.15 0.05 4.55% |
Big |
Big Rock Target Price Odds to finish below 0.05
The tendency of Big Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 0.05 or more in 90 days |
| 1.15 | 90 days | 0.05 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Big Rock to drop to C$ 0.05 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Big Rock Brewery probability density function shows the probability of Big Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Big Rock Brewery price to stay between C$ 0.05 and its current price of C$1.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.93 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Big Rock Brewery has a beta of -1.64 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Big Rock Brewery are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Big Rock is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Big Rock Brewery has an alpha of 0.3365, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Big Rock Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Big Rock
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Big Rock Brewery. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Big Rock's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Big Rock Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Big Rock is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Big Rock's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Big Rock Brewery, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Big Rock within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Big Rock Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Big Rock for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Big Rock Brewery can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Big Rock Brewery had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Big Rock Brewery may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Big Rock Brewery has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Big Rock Brewery has accumulated 19.59 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 17.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Big Rock Brewery has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Big Rock until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Big Rock's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Big Rock Brewery sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Big to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Big Rock's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 43.68 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.93 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.48 M. | |
| Big Rock Brewery has accumulated about 163 K in cash with (2.36 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. | |
| Roughly 18.0% of Big Rock shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Stocks In Play Big Rock Brewery Inc. - Barchart |
Big Rock Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Big Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Big Rock's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Big Rock's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1 M |
Big Rock Technical Analysis
Big Rock's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Big Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Big Rock Brewery. In general, you should focus on analyzing Big Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Big Rock Predictive Forecast Models
Big Rock's time-series forecasting models is one of many Big Rock's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Big Rock's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Big Rock Brewery
Checking the ongoing alerts about Big Rock for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Big Rock Brewery help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Big Rock Brewery had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Big Rock Brewery may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Big Rock Brewery has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Big Rock Brewery has accumulated 19.59 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 17.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Big Rock Brewery has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Big Rock until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Big Rock's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Big Rock Brewery sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Big to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Big Rock's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 43.68 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.93 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.48 M. | |
| Big Rock Brewery has accumulated about 163 K in cash with (2.36 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. | |
| Roughly 18.0% of Big Rock shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Stocks In Play Big Rock Brewery Inc. - Barchart |
Other Information on Investing in Big Stock
Big Rock financial ratios help investors to determine whether Big Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Big with respect to the benefits of owning Big Rock security.