Indo Kordsa (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6,136

BRAM Stock  IDR 5,825  250.00  4.12%   
Indo Kordsa's future price is the expected price of Indo Kordsa instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Indo Kordsa Tbk performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Indo Kordsa Backtesting, Indo Kordsa Valuation, Indo Kordsa Correlation, Indo Kordsa Hype Analysis, Indo Kordsa Volatility, Indo Kordsa History as well as Indo Kordsa Performance.
  
Please specify Indo Kordsa's target price for which you would like Indo Kordsa odds to be computed.

Indo Kordsa Target Price Odds to finish below 6,136

The tendency of Indo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 5,825 90 days 5,825 
about 52.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Indo Kordsa to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 52.13 (This Indo Kordsa Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Indo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Indo Kordsa Tbk has a beta of -0.3 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Indo Kordsa are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Indo Kordsa Tbk is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Indo Kordsa Tbk has an alpha of 0.0903, implying that it can generate a 0.0903 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Indo Kordsa Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Indo Kordsa

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Indo Kordsa Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5,8235,8255,827
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5,0245,0266,408
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5,9035,9055,908
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5,4146,0506,686
Details

Indo Kordsa Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Indo Kordsa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Indo Kordsa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Indo Kordsa Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Indo Kordsa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.3
σ
Overall volatility
212.41
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Indo Kordsa Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Indo Kordsa for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Indo Kordsa Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 99.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Indo Kordsa Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Indo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Indo Kordsa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Indo Kordsa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding450 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.8 M

Indo Kordsa Technical Analysis

Indo Kordsa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Indo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Indo Kordsa Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Indo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Indo Kordsa Predictive Forecast Models

Indo Kordsa's time-series forecasting models is one of many Indo Kordsa's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Indo Kordsa's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Indo Kordsa Tbk

Checking the ongoing alerts about Indo Kordsa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Indo Kordsa Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 99.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Indo Stock

Indo Kordsa financial ratios help investors to determine whether Indo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Indo with respect to the benefits of owning Indo Kordsa security.