BRF SA (Brazil) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 22.91
| BRFS3 Stock | BRL 25.21 0.80 3.28% |
BRF |
BRF SA Target Price Odds to finish below 22.91
The tendency of BRF Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to R$ 22.91 or more in 90 days |
| 25.21 | 90 days | 22.91 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BRF SA to drop to R$ 22.91 or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This BRF SA probability density function shows the probability of BRF Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BRF SA price to stay between R$ 22.91 and its current price of R$25.21 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.57 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BRF SA has a beta of -0.41 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding BRF SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, BRF SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BRF SA has an alpha of 0.0442, implying that it can generate a 0.0442 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). BRF SA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BRF SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BRF SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BRF SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BRF SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BRF SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BRF SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BRF SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.93 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
BRF SA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BRF SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BRF SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 33.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
BRF SA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BRF Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BRF SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BRF SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 852.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.9 B |
BRF SA Technical Analysis
BRF SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BRF Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BRF SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing BRF Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BRF SA Predictive Forecast Models
BRF SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many BRF SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BRF SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BRF SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about BRF SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BRF SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 33.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for BRF Stock Analysis
When running BRF SA's price analysis, check to measure BRF SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BRF SA is operating at the current time. Most of BRF SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BRF SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BRF SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BRF SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.