Britannia Industries (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4923.62
| BRITANNIA | 4,904 55.60 1.15% |
Britannia |
Britannia Industries Target Price Odds to finish over 4923.62
The tendency of Britannia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 4,924 or more in 90 days |
| 4,904 | 90 days | 4,924 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Britannia Industries to move over 4,924 or more in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Britannia Industries Limited probability density function shows the probability of Britannia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Britannia Industries price to stay between its current price of 4,904 and 4,924 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Britannia Industries Limited has a beta of -0.0565 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Britannia Industries are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Britannia Industries Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Britannia Industries Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Britannia Industries Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Britannia Industries
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Britannia Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Britannia Industries Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Britannia Industries is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Britannia Industries' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Britannia Industries Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Britannia Industries within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 379.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
Britannia Industries Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Britannia Industries for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Britannia Industries can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Britannia Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Britannia Industries is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Reduce Britannia Industries target of Rs 5200 Emkay Global Financial - Moneycontrol |
Britannia Industries Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Britannia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Britannia Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Britannia Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 240.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 20.2 B |
Britannia Industries Technical Analysis
Britannia Industries' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Britannia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Britannia Industries Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Britannia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Britannia Industries Predictive Forecast Models
Britannia Industries' time-series forecasting models is one of many Britannia Industries' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Britannia Industries' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Britannia Industries
Checking the ongoing alerts about Britannia Industries for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Britannia Industries help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Britannia Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Britannia Industries is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Reduce Britannia Industries target of Rs 5200 Emkay Global Financial - Moneycontrol |
Other Information on Investing in Britannia Stock
Britannia Industries financial ratios help investors to determine whether Britannia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Britannia with respect to the benefits of owning Britannia Industries security.