Birikim Varlik (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 36.60

BRKVY Stock   50.75  1.65  3.36%   
Birikim Varlik's future price is the expected price of Birikim Varlik instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Birikim Varlik Yonetim performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Birikim Varlik Backtesting, Birikim Varlik Valuation, Birikim Varlik Correlation, Birikim Varlik Hype Analysis, Birikim Varlik Volatility, Birikim Varlik History as well as Birikim Varlik Performance.
  
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Birikim Varlik Target Price Odds to finish below 36.60

The tendency of Birikim Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  36.60  or more in 90 days
 50.75 90 days 36.60 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Birikim Varlik to drop to  36.60  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Birikim Varlik Yonetim probability density function shows the probability of Birikim Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Birikim Varlik Yonetim price to stay between  36.60  and its current price of 50.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.33 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Birikim Varlik Yonetim has a beta of -0.23 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Birikim Varlik are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Birikim Varlik Yonetim is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Birikim Varlik Yonetim has an alpha of 0.2136, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Birikim Varlik Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Birikim Varlik

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Birikim Varlik Yonetim. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Birikim Varlik's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
47.5850.7553.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.2940.4655.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
47.5650.7353.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
46.3848.7551.12
Details

Birikim Varlik Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Birikim Varlik is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Birikim Varlik's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Birikim Varlik Yonetim, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Birikim Varlik within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.23
σ
Overall volatility
3.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Birikim Varlik Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Birikim Varlik for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Birikim Varlik Yonetim can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Birikim Varlik had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Birikim Varlik Technical Analysis

Birikim Varlik's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Birikim Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Birikim Varlik Yonetim. In general, you should focus on analyzing Birikim Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Birikim Varlik Predictive Forecast Models

Birikim Varlik's time-series forecasting models is one of many Birikim Varlik's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Birikim Varlik's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Birikim Varlik Yonetim

Checking the ongoing alerts about Birikim Varlik for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Birikim Varlik Yonetim help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Birikim Varlik had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Birikim Stock

Birikim Varlik financial ratios help investors to determine whether Birikim Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Birikim with respect to the benefits of owning Birikim Varlik security.