Backrock Glbl Opprtnts Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 18.11
| BROCX Fund | USD 18.44 0.26 1.43% |
Backrock |
Backrock Glbl Target Price Odds to finish below 18.11
The tendency of Backrock Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 18.11 or more in 90 days |
| 18.44 | 90 days | 18.11 | about 6.84 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Backrock Glbl to drop to $ 18.11 or more in 90 days from now is about 6.84 (This Backrock Glbl Opprtnts probability density function shows the probability of Backrock Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Backrock Glbl Opprtnts price to stay between $ 18.11 and its current price of $18.44 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.5 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Backrock Glbl has a beta of 0.46 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Backrock Glbl average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Backrock Glbl Opprtnts will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Backrock Glbl Opprtnts has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Backrock Glbl Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Backrock Glbl
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Backrock Glbl Opprtnts. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Backrock Glbl's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Backrock Glbl Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Backrock Glbl is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Backrock Glbl's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Backrock Glbl Opprtnts, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Backrock Glbl within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
Backrock Glbl Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Backrock Glbl for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Backrock Glbl Opprtnts can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Backrock Glbl generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund holds 96.37% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Backrock Glbl Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Backrock Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Backrock Glbl's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Backrock Glbl's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Backrock Glbl Technical Analysis
Backrock Glbl's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Backrock Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Backrock Glbl Opprtnts. In general, you should focus on analyzing Backrock Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Backrock Glbl Predictive Forecast Models
Backrock Glbl's time-series forecasting models is one of many Backrock Glbl's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Backrock Glbl's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Backrock Glbl Opprtnts
Checking the ongoing alerts about Backrock Glbl for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Backrock Glbl Opprtnts help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Backrock Glbl generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund holds 96.37% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Other Information on Investing in Backrock Mutual Fund
Backrock Glbl financial ratios help investors to determine whether Backrock Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Backrock with respect to the benefits of owning Backrock Glbl security.
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