Boryszew (Poland) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.29
| BRS Stock | 5.30 0.03 0.56% |
Boryszew |
Boryszew Target Price Odds to finish below 5.29
The tendency of Boryszew Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 5.29 or more in 90 days |
| 5.30 | 90 days | 5.29 | about 49.58 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Boryszew to drop to 5.29 or more in 90 days from now is about 49.58 (This Boryszew SA probability density function shows the probability of Boryszew Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Boryszew SA price to stay between 5.29 and its current price of 5.3 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.85 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Boryszew has a beta of 0.23 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Boryszew average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Boryszew SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Boryszew SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Boryszew Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Boryszew
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Boryszew SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Boryszew's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Boryszew Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Boryszew is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Boryszew's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Boryszew SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Boryszew within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Boryszew Technical Analysis
Boryszew's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Boryszew Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Boryszew SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Boryszew Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Boryszew Predictive Forecast Models
Boryszew's time-series forecasting models is one of many Boryszew's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Boryszew's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Boryszew in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Boryszew's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Boryszew options trading.
Additional Tools for Boryszew Stock Analysis
When running Boryszew's price analysis, check to measure Boryszew's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Boryszew is operating at the current time. Most of Boryszew's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Boryszew's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Boryszew's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Boryszew to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.