Bruce Fund Bruce Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 539.76

BRUFX Fund  USD 544.35  0.85  0.16%   
Bruce Fund's future price is the expected price of Bruce Fund instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bruce Fund Bruce performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bruce Fund Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Bruce Fund Correlation, Bruce Fund Hype Analysis, Bruce Fund Volatility, Bruce Fund History as well as Bruce Fund Performance.
  
Please specify Bruce Fund's target price for which you would like Bruce Fund odds to be computed.

Bruce Fund Target Price Odds to finish below 539.76

The tendency of Bruce Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 539.76  or more in 90 days
 544.35 90 days 539.76 
about 40.52
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bruce Fund to drop to $ 539.76  or more in 90 days from now is about 40.52 (This Bruce Fund Bruce probability density function shows the probability of Bruce Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bruce Fund Bruce price to stay between $ 539.76  and its current price of $544.35 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.16 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Bruce Fund has a beta of 0.33 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bruce Fund average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bruce Fund Bruce will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bruce Fund Bruce has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Bruce Fund Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bruce Fund

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bruce Fund Bruce. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
543.83544.35544.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
542.47542.99598.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
554.13554.65555.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
522.91535.97549.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bruce Fund. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bruce Fund's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bruce Fund's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bruce Fund Bruce.

Bruce Fund Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bruce Fund is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bruce Fund's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bruce Fund Bruce, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bruce Fund within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.33
σ
Overall volatility
5.83
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

Bruce Fund Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bruce Fund for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bruce Fund Bruce can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is Bruce Fund a Strong Mutual Fund Pick Right Now - Yahoo Finance
The fund holds about 12.1% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Bruce Fund Technical Analysis

Bruce Fund's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bruce Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bruce Fund Bruce. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bruce Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bruce Fund Predictive Forecast Models

Bruce Fund's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bruce Fund's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bruce Fund's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bruce Fund Bruce

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bruce Fund for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bruce Fund Bruce help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is Bruce Fund a Strong Mutual Fund Pick Right Now - Yahoo Finance
The fund holds about 12.1% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Bruce Mutual Fund

Bruce Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bruce Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bruce with respect to the benefits of owning Bruce Fund security.
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