Scepter Holdings Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 7.0E-4
| BRZL Stock | USD 0.0007 0.0004 36.36% |
Scepter |
Scepter Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 7.0E-4
The tendency of Scepter Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 0.0007 | 90 days | 0.0007 | about 8.06 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Scepter Holdings to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 8.06 (This Scepter Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Scepter Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 4.35 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Scepter Holdings will likely underperform. Moreover Scepter Holdings has an alpha of 1.9688, implying that it can generate a 1.97 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Scepter Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Scepter Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Scepter Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Scepter Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Scepter Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Scepter Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Scepter Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Scepter Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.97 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 4.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.0004 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Scepter Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Scepter Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Scepter Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Scepter Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Scepter Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Scepter Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Scepter Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (46.8 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Scepter Holdings currently holds about 22 in cash with (46.8 K) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Scepter Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Scepter Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Scepter Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Scepter Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Short Long Term Debt | 279.4 K |
Scepter Holdings Technical Analysis
Scepter Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Scepter Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Scepter Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Scepter Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Scepter Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Scepter Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Scepter Holdings' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Scepter Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Scepter Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Scepter Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Scepter Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Scepter Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Scepter Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Scepter Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Scepter Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (46.8 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Scepter Holdings currently holds about 22 in cash with (46.8 K) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Other Information on Investing in Scepter Pink Sheet
Scepter Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Scepter Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Scepter with respect to the benefits of owning Scepter Holdings security.