Baird Smallmid Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 18.19

BSGIX Fund  USD 18.28  0.09  0.49%   
Baird Small/mid's future price is the expected price of Baird Small/mid instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Baird Smallmid Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Baird Small/mid Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Baird Small/mid Correlation, Baird Small/mid Hype Analysis, Baird Small/mid Volatility, Baird Small/mid History as well as Baird Small/mid Performance.
  
Please specify Baird Small/mid's target price for which you would like Baird Small/mid odds to be computed.

Baird Small/mid Target Price Odds to finish over 18.19

The tendency of Baird Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 18.19  in 90 days
 18.28 90 days 18.19 
roughly 2.28
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Baird Small/mid to stay above $ 18.19  in 90 days from now is roughly 2.28 (This Baird Smallmid Cap probability density function shows the probability of Baird Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Baird Smallmid Cap price to stay between $ 18.19  and its current price of $18.28 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Baird Small/mid has a beta of 0.24 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Baird Small/mid average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Baird Smallmid Cap will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Baird Smallmid Cap has an alpha of 0.1679, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Baird Small/mid Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Baird Small/mid

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baird Smallmid Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.3018.2819.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.9517.9318.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.3918.3719.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.9717.8918.81
Details

Baird Small/mid Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Baird Small/mid is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Baird Small/mid's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Baird Smallmid Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Baird Small/mid within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
0.77
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Baird Small/mid Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Baird Small/mid for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Baird Smallmid Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -4.0%
Baird Smallmid Cap holds about 6.36% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Baird Small/mid Technical Analysis

Baird Small/mid's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Baird Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Baird Smallmid Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Baird Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Baird Small/mid Predictive Forecast Models

Baird Small/mid's time-series forecasting models is one of many Baird Small/mid's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Baird Small/mid's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Baird Smallmid Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Baird Small/mid for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Baird Smallmid Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -4.0%
Baird Smallmid Cap holds about 6.36% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Baird Mutual Fund

Baird Small/mid financial ratios help investors to determine whether Baird Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Baird with respect to the benefits of owning Baird Small/mid security.
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