BRB Banco (Brazil) Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 0.09
| BSLI4 Preferred Stock | BRL 8.16 0.68 7.69% |
BRB |
BRB Banco Target Price Odds to finish below 0.09
The tendency of BRB Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to R$ 0.09 or more in 90 days |
| 8.16 | 90 days | 0.09 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BRB Banco to drop to R$ 0.09 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This BRB Banco probability density function shows the probability of BRB Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BRB Banco price to stay between R$ 0.09 and its current price of R$8.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.87 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BRB Banco has a beta of 0.0579 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BRB Banco average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BRB Banco will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BRB Banco has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. BRB Banco Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BRB Banco
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BRB Banco. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BRB Banco Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BRB Banco is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BRB Banco's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BRB Banco, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BRB Banco within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
BRB Banco Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BRB Banco for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BRB Banco can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BRB Banco generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| BRB Banco has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| BRB Banco has accumulated about 2.26 B in cash with (1.76 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.23. | |
| Roughly 84.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
BRB Banco Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BRB Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BRB Banco's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BRB Banco's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.28 | |
| Float Shares | 101.94M | |
| Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 330 | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 877 | |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 1.93% |
BRB Banco Technical Analysis
BRB Banco's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BRB Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BRB Banco. In general, you should focus on analyzing BRB Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BRB Banco Predictive Forecast Models
BRB Banco's time-series forecasting models is one of many BRB Banco's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BRB Banco's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BRB Banco
Checking the ongoing alerts about BRB Banco for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BRB Banco help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BRB Banco generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| BRB Banco has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| BRB Banco has accumulated about 2.26 B in cash with (1.76 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.23. | |
| Roughly 84.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for BRB Preferred Stock Analysis
When running BRB Banco's price analysis, check to measure BRB Banco's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BRB Banco is operating at the current time. Most of BRB Banco's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BRB Banco's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BRB Banco's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BRB Banco to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.