Baramulti Suksessarana (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3474.9
| BSSR Stock | IDR 4,290 60.00 1.42% |
Baramulti |
Baramulti Suksessarana Target Price Odds to finish over 3474.9
The tendency of Baramulti Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 3,475 in 90 days |
| 4,290 | 90 days | 3,475 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Baramulti Suksessarana to stay above 3,475 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Baramulti Suksessarana Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Baramulti Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Baramulti Suksessarana price to stay between 3,475 and its current price of 4290.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.35 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Baramulti Suksessarana has a beta of 0.2 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Baramulti Suksessarana average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Baramulti Suksessarana Tbk will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Baramulti Suksessarana Tbk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Baramulti Suksessarana Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Baramulti Suksessarana
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baramulti Suksessarana. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Baramulti Suksessarana Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Baramulti Suksessarana is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Baramulti Suksessarana's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Baramulti Suksessarana Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Baramulti Suksessarana within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0071 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 138.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Baramulti Suksessarana Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Baramulti Suksessarana for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Baramulti Suksessarana can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Baramulti Suksessarana generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 91.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Baramulti Suksessarana Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Baramulti Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Baramulti Suksessarana's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Baramulti Suksessarana's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 165.8 M |
Baramulti Suksessarana Technical Analysis
Baramulti Suksessarana's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Baramulti Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Baramulti Suksessarana Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Baramulti Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Baramulti Suksessarana Predictive Forecast Models
Baramulti Suksessarana's time-series forecasting models is one of many Baramulti Suksessarana's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Baramulti Suksessarana's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Baramulti Suksessarana
Checking the ongoing alerts about Baramulti Suksessarana for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Baramulti Suksessarana help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Baramulti Suksessarana generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 91.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Baramulti Stock
Baramulti Suksessarana financial ratios help investors to determine whether Baramulti Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Baramulti with respect to the benefits of owning Baramulti Suksessarana security.