Bentley Systems Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 47.48
| BSY Stock | USD 49.62 1.11 2.29% |
Bentley |
Bentley Systems Target Price Odds to finish below 47.48
The tendency of Bentley Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 47.48 or more in 90 days |
| 49.62 | 90 days | 47.48 | about 6.33 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bentley Systems to drop to $ 47.48 or more in 90 days from now is about 6.33 (This Bentley Systems probability density function shows the probability of Bentley Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bentley Systems price to stay between $ 47.48 and its current price of $49.62 at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.92 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Bentley Systems has a beta of 0.72 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bentley Systems average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bentley Systems will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bentley Systems has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bentley Systems Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bentley Systems
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bentley Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bentley Systems' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bentley Systems Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bentley Systems is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bentley Systems' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bentley Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bentley Systems within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.72 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Bentley Systems Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bentley Systems for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bentley Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bentley Systems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bentley Systems has 1.57 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 3.78, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Bentley Systems has a current ratio of 0.59, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Bentley to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Bentley Systems has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 46.0% of Bentley Systems shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Bentley Systems, Incorporated Given Consensus Rating of Moderate Buy by Analysts |
Bentley Systems Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bentley Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bentley Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bentley Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 332.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 68.4 M |
Bentley Systems Technical Analysis
Bentley Systems' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bentley Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bentley Systems. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bentley Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bentley Systems Predictive Forecast Models
Bentley Systems' time-series forecasting models is one of many Bentley Systems' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bentley Systems' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bentley Systems
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bentley Systems for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bentley Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bentley Systems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bentley Systems has 1.57 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 3.78, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Bentley Systems has a current ratio of 0.59, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Bentley to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Bentley Systems has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 46.0% of Bentley Systems shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Bentley Systems, Incorporated Given Consensus Rating of Moderate Buy by Analysts |
Additional Tools for Bentley Stock Analysis
When running Bentley Systems' price analysis, check to measure Bentley Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bentley Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Bentley Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bentley Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bentley Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bentley Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.