British American Tobacco Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 44.47
| BTAFF Stock | USD 37.06 1.19 3.32% |
British |
British American Target Price Odds to finish over 44.47
The tendency of British Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 44.47 or more in 90 days |
| 37.06 | 90 days | 44.47 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of British American to move over $ 44.47 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This British American Tobacco probability density function shows the probability of British Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of British American Tobacco price to stay between its current price of $ 37.06 and $ 44.47 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.68 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon British American has a beta of 0.58 suggesting as returns on the market go up, British American average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding British American Tobacco will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally British American Tobacco has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. British American Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for British American
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as British American Tobacco. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.British American Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. British American is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the British American's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold British American Tobacco, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of British American within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.58 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
British American Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of British American for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for British American Tobacco can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| British American Tobacco has accumulated 38.35 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.61, which is about average as compared to similar companies. British American Tobacco has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist British American until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, British American's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like British American Tobacco sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for British to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about British American's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Imperial Brands target raised to GBP27 on strong revenue growth |
British American Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of British Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential British American's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. British American's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.2 B |
British American Technical Analysis
British American's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. British Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of British American Tobacco. In general, you should focus on analyzing British Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
British American Predictive Forecast Models
British American's time-series forecasting models is one of many British American's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary British American's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about British American Tobacco
Checking the ongoing alerts about British American for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for British American Tobacco help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| British American Tobacco has accumulated 38.35 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.61, which is about average as compared to similar companies. British American Tobacco has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist British American until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, British American's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like British American Tobacco sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for British to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about British American's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Imperial Brands target raised to GBP27 on strong revenue growth |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in British Pink Sheet
When determining whether British American Tobacco offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of British American's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of British American Tobacco Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on British American Tobacco Stock:Check out British American Backtesting, British American Valuation, British American Correlation, British American Hype Analysis, British American Volatility, British American History as well as British American Performance. You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.