Baytex Energy Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.72
| BTE Stock | CAD 4.22 0.02 0.48% |
Baytex |
Baytex Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 4.72
The tendency of Baytex Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under C$ 4.72 after 90 days |
| 4.22 | 90 days | 4.72 | over 95.53 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Baytex Energy to stay under C$ 4.72 after 90 days from now is over 95.53 (This Baytex Energy Corp probability density function shows the probability of Baytex Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Baytex Energy Corp price to stay between its current price of C$ 4.22 and C$ 4.72 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.46 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Baytex Energy Corp has a beta of -0.16 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Baytex Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Baytex Energy Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Baytex Energy Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Baytex Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Baytex Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baytex Energy Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Baytex Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Baytex Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Baytex Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Baytex Energy Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Baytex Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Baytex Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Baytex Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Baytex Energy Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Baytex Energy Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Baytex Energy Corp has accumulated 2.44 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.47, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Baytex Energy Corp has a current ratio of 0.61, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Baytex Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Baytex Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Baytex Energy Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Baytex to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Baytex Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 2.71 B. Net Loss for the year was (233.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.67 B. |
Baytex Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Baytex Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Baytex Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Baytex Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 704.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 55.8 M |
Baytex Energy Technical Analysis
Baytex Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Baytex Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Baytex Energy Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Baytex Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Baytex Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Baytex Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Baytex Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Baytex Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Baytex Energy Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Baytex Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Baytex Energy Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Baytex Energy Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Baytex Energy Corp has accumulated 2.44 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.47, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Baytex Energy Corp has a current ratio of 0.61, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Baytex Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Baytex Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Baytex Energy Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Baytex to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Baytex Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 2.71 B. Net Loss for the year was (233.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.67 B. |
Check out Baytex Energy Backtesting, Baytex Energy Valuation, Baytex Energy Correlation, Baytex Energy Hype Analysis, Baytex Energy Volatility, Baytex Energy History as well as Baytex Energy Performance. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.