British Amer (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.69

BTI Stock   1.25  0.01  0.79%   
British Amer's future price is the expected price of British Amer instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bailador Technology Invest performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out British Amer Backtesting, British Amer Valuation, British Amer Correlation, British Amer Hype Analysis, British Amer Volatility, British Amer History as well as British Amer Performance.
  
Please specify British Amer's target price for which you would like British Amer odds to be computed.

British Amer Target Price Odds to finish over 4.69

The tendency of British Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  4.69  or more in 90 days
 1.25 90 days 4.69 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of British Amer to move over  4.69  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Bailador Technology Invest probability density function shows the probability of British Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bailador Technology price to stay between its current price of  1.25  and  4.69  at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.36 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bailador Technology Invest has a beta of -0.0362 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding British Amer are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bailador Technology Invest is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bailador Technology Invest has an alpha of 0.1145, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   British Amer Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for British Amer

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bailador Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.252.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.142.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.061.222.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.251.251.25
Details

British Amer Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. British Amer is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the British Amer's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bailador Technology Invest, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of British Amer within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.009

British Amer Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of British Amer for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bailador Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bailador Technology may become a speculative penny stock
About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

British Amer Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of British Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential British Amer's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. British Amer's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding145.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments151.5 M

British Amer Technical Analysis

British Amer's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. British Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bailador Technology Invest. In general, you should focus on analyzing British Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

British Amer Predictive Forecast Models

British Amer's time-series forecasting models is one of many British Amer's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary British Amer's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bailador Technology

Checking the ongoing alerts about British Amer for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bailador Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bailador Technology may become a speculative penny stock
About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for British Stock Analysis

When running British Amer's price analysis, check to measure British Amer's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy British Amer is operating at the current time. Most of British Amer's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of British Amer's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move British Amer's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of British Amer to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.