British American Tobacco Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 37.26
| BTI Stock | USD 37.94 0.23 0.61% |
British |
British Amer Target Price Odds to finish below 37.26
The tendency of British Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 37.26 or more in 90 days |
| 37.94 | 90 days | 37.26 | about 79.8 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of British Amer to drop to $ 37.26 or more in 90 days from now is about 79.8 (This British American Tobacco probability density function shows the probability of British Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of British American Tobacco price to stay between $ 37.26 and its current price of $37.94 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.96 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon British Amer has a beta of 0.0972 suggesting as returns on the market go up, British Amer average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding British American Tobacco will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally British American Tobacco has an alpha of 0.0469, implying that it can generate a 0.0469 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). British Amer Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for British Amer
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as British American Tobacco. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of British Amer's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
British Amer Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. British Amer is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the British Amer's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold British American Tobacco, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of British Amer within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
British Amer Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of British Amer for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for British American Tobacco can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| British American Tobacco has 39.73 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.61, which is OK given its current industry classification. British American Tobacco has a current ratio of 0.86, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for British to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 27.28 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (14.19 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 22.85 B. | |
| On 6th of November 2024 British Amer paid $ 0.7431 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: SCOTUS allows graphic warning labels on cigarette packaging |
British Amer Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of British Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential British Amer's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. British Amer's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.3 B |
British Amer Technical Analysis
British Amer's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. British Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of British American Tobacco. In general, you should focus on analyzing British Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
British Amer Predictive Forecast Models
British Amer's time-series forecasting models is one of many British Amer's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary British Amer's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about British American Tobacco
Checking the ongoing alerts about British Amer for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for British American Tobacco help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| British American Tobacco has 39.73 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.61, which is OK given its current industry classification. British American Tobacco has a current ratio of 0.86, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for British to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 27.28 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (14.19 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 22.85 B. | |
| On 6th of November 2024 British Amer paid $ 0.7431 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: SCOTUS allows graphic warning labels on cigarette packaging |
Check out British Amer Backtesting, British Amer Valuation, British Amer Correlation, British Amer Hype Analysis, British Amer Volatility, British Amer History as well as British Amer Performance. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Tobacco space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of British Amer. If investors know British will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about British Amer listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.138 | Dividend Share 2.332 | Earnings Share (7.93) | Revenue Per Share 2.3524 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.08) |
The market value of British American Tobacco is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of British that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of British Amer's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is British Amer's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because British Amer's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect British Amer's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between British Amer's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if British Amer is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, British Amer's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.